Barnsley vs Oldham: Oldham edge expected goals
Oldham travel to Barnsley in the EFL Trophy, the game starts at 19:00 UTC.
On home ground, over a 10-game sample, Barnsley carry 1.49 expected goals for, 2.19 against per game, while their goals (0.9 per match) trail the chances. That run brought a single win (3 drawn, 6 lost). Barnsley have found the net in ten straight games.
In their last ten matches, on the road, Oldham's matches have averaged 1.74 xG for and 1.74 against, though 0.7 goals per game is less than that xG. On the scoreboard, those games gave a single win (2 drawn, 7 lost).
Taking both records together, our xG preview gives Barnsley 1.61 expected goals and Oldham 1.96. Turned into chances, Barnsley win 32% of the time, Oldham 46%, with 22% for the draw. Goals: 69% for over 2.5; a goal at each end at 69%.
Barnsley 5-2 Oldham at the whistle. The preview had leaned the other way: Oldham at 46%, this result at 32%.
On the day the measured chances were 2.56 and 2.14, set against the 1.61 and 1.96 expected beforehand. Barnsley turned 2.56 xG into 5 goals.
Match info: Barnsley vs Oldham →This is what the chances say, nothing more.