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Most points above xPts: Roda (+6.6 pts), Almere City FC (+5.1 pts), Heracles (+4.7 pts).
Most points below xPts: Waalwijk (−5.8 pts), Helmond Sport (−4.5 pts), Dordrecht (−4.4 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 1 | 14 | 33.9 | 14.3 | 30.3 | 35 | +4.7 |
| 2 | NAC Breda | 4 | 14 | 27.7 | 15.4 | 26.7 | 27 | +0.3 |
| 3 | Almere City FC | 2 | 15 | 31.0 | 22.5 | 25.9 | 31 | +5.1 |
| 4 | Emmen | 6 | 15 | 31.6 | 26.7 | 23.9 | 25 | +1.1 |
| 5 | Waalwijk | 9 | 14 | 22.8 | 16.1 | 22.8 | 17 | −5.8 |
| 6 | Den Bosch | 8 | 14 | 25.7 | 22.8 | 21.7 | 19 | −2.7 |
| 7 | VVV Venlo | 5 | 14 | 25.6 | 23.1 | 21.6 | 26 | +4.4 |
| 8 | Roda | 3 | 14 | 22.8 | 18.7 | 21.4 | 28 | +6.6 |
| 9 | Jong Ajax | 14 | 13 | 23.0 | 22.0 | 19.2 | 16 | −3.2 |
| 10 | FC Volendam | 7 | 15 | 25.5 | 27.2 | 18.7 | 22 | +3.3 |
| 11 | Jong AZ | 10 | 13 | 18.3 | 18.3 | 17.4 | 17 | −0.4 |
| 12 | Vitesse | 11 | 12 | 18.1 | 16.8 | 17.2 | 17 | −0.2 |
| 13 | Jong PSV U21 | 12 | 14 | 18.1 | 23.2 | 16.8 | 17 | +0.2 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 17 | 14 | 18.5 | 24.0 | 16.5 | 12 | −4.5 |
| 15 | Dordrecht | 18 | 15 | 16.2 | 26.3 | 16.4 | 12 | −4.4 |
| 16 | FC OSS | 15 | 14 | 18.9 | 25.0 | 15.7 | 14 | −1.7 |
| 17 | MVV | 13 | 12 | 13.6 | 16.1 | 14.9 | 17 | +2.1 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 19 | 14 | 16.9 | 26.6 | 13.7 | 11 | −2.7 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 20 | 12 | 15.5 | 24.1 | 12.3 | 11 | −1.3 |
| 20 | FC Eindhoven | 16 | 14 | 12.7 | 27.1 | 11.7 | 13 | +1.3 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.