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7 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 28.1 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda 4–2 Emmen | 2.71–1.61 | 61% · 18% · 21% | Win in line with xG for NAC Breda |
| Almere City FC 6–1 Helmond Sport | 3.13–0.92 | 81% · 12% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Almere City FC |
| De Graafschap 1–2 FC OSS | 2.19–1.08 | 63% · 20% · 18% | Won against the xG: FC OSS |
| Dordrecht 1–2 Heracles | 0.34–2.60 | 3% · 11% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| Roda 3–1 FC Volendam | 2.88–1.48 | 66% · 16% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Roda |
| VVV Venlo 1–2 FC Eindhoven | 2.74–0.87 | 77% · 14% · 9% | Won against the xG: FC Eindhoven |
| Waalwijk 4–0 Den Bosch | 4.55–1.00 | 91% · 6% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Waalwijk |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.