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Premier League xG Fixture Difficulty 2026/2027

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Matches

xG fixture difficulty

Each team's next five league matches, the opponent rated by its xG this season at that venue, against the league's 1.48 xG per team per match. From the xG of 100 matches; not a prediction or a tip.

For attackers: the opponent's xG against

Easiest run first: the more chances it gives away, the easier to score.

TeamNext fiveAvg
CoventryCrystal Palace (H), easiest · Leeds (A), hard · Ipswich (H), easiest · Manchester United (A), easiest · Aston Villa (H), easiest1.6
Aston VillaSunderland (H), easiest · Ipswich (A), easy · Everton (H), average · Crystal Palace (H), easiest · Coventry (A), average2.0
Manchester UnitedLiverpool (A), hard · Brentford (H), easy · Newcastle (A), easiest · Coventry (H), average · Crystal Palace (A), easiest2.2
LiverpoolManchester United (H), easy · Everton (A), average · Sunderland (H), easiest · Chelsea (A), average · Leeds (H), average2.4
Crystal PalaceCoventry (A), average · Hull City (H), average · Chelsea (A), average · Aston Villa (A), easy · Manchester United (H), easy2.6
LeedsChelsea (A), average · Coventry (H), average · Manchester City (A), average · Ipswich (H), easiest · Liverpool (A), hard2.8
NewcastleArsenal (H), hardest · Brighton (A), hard · Manchester United (H), easy · Sunderland (H), easiest · Ipswich (A), easy2.8
SunderlandAston Villa (A), easy · Tottenham (H), average · Liverpool (A), hard · Newcastle (A), easiest · Nottingham Forest (H), hard2.8
ChelseaLeeds (H), average · Nottingham Forest (A), hardest · Crystal Palace (H), easiest · Liverpool (H), hard · Manchester City (A), average3.2
Hull CityBrighton (H), average · Crystal Palace (A), easiest · Nottingham Forest (H), hard · Bournemouth (A), hardest · Tottenham (H), average3.2
IpswichTottenham (A), hardest · Aston Villa (H), easiest · Coventry (A), average · Leeds (A), hard · Newcastle (H), average3.2
TottenhamIpswich (H), easiest · Sunderland (A), hard · Fulham (H), average · Arsenal (H), hardest · Hull City (A), average3.2
BrentfordEverton (H), average · Manchester United (A), easiest · Arsenal (H), hardest · Manchester City (H), hardest · Fulham (A), average3.4
EvertonBrentford (A), hard · Liverpool (H), hard · Aston Villa (A), easy · Fulham (H), average · Brighton (A), hard3.4
FulhamManchester City (A), average · Bournemouth (H), hard · Tottenham (A), hardest · Everton (A), average · Brentford (H), easy3.4
Manchester CityFulham (H), average · Arsenal (A), hardest · Leeds (H), average · Brentford (A), hard · Chelsea (H), easy3.4
Nottingham ForestBournemouth (A), hardest · Chelsea (H), easy · Hull City (A), average · Brighton (H), average · Sunderland (A), hard3.4
BournemouthNottingham Forest (H), hard · Fulham (A), average · Brighton (H), average · Hull City (H), average · Arsenal (A), hardest3.6
ArsenalNewcastle (A), easiest · Manchester City (H), hardest · Brentford (A), hard · Tottenham (A), hardest · Bournemouth (H), hard3.8
BrightonHull City (A), average · Newcastle (H), average · Bournemouth (A), hardest · Nottingham Forest (A), hardest · Everton (H), average3.8

For defenders: the opponent's xG for

Easiest run first: the more chances it makes, the harder to keep a clean sheet.

TeamNext fiveAvg
Crystal PalaceCoventry (A), easiest · Hull City (H), easiest · Chelsea (A), average · Aston Villa (A), easy · Manchester United (H), average2.0
Manchester UnitedLiverpool (A), average · Brentford (H), easy · Newcastle (A), easy · Coventry (H), easiest · Crystal Palace (A), average2.2
Aston VillaSunderland (H), hard · Ipswich (A), easy · Everton (H), average · Crystal Palace (H), easy · Coventry (A), easiest2.4
IpswichTottenham (A), average · Aston Villa (H), average · Coventry (A), easiest · Leeds (A), average · Newcastle (H), easy2.4
BrightonHull City (A), easiest · Newcastle (H), easy · Bournemouth (A), hardest · Nottingham Forest (A), easy · Everton (H), average2.6
SunderlandAston Villa (A), easy · Tottenham (H), easiest · Liverpool (A), average · Newcastle (A), easy · Nottingham Forest (H), hardest2.6
TottenhamIpswich (H), average · Sunderland (A), hard · Fulham (H), easy · Arsenal (H), average · Hull City (A), easiest2.6
LiverpoolManchester United (H), average · Everton (A), easy · Sunderland (H), hard · Chelsea (A), average · Leeds (H), easy2.8
Manchester CityFulham (H), easy · Arsenal (A), hard · Leeds (H), easy · Brentford (A), hard · Chelsea (H), easy2.8
ChelseaLeeds (H), easy · Nottingham Forest (A), easy · Crystal Palace (H), easy · Liverpool (H), hard · Manchester City (A), hardest3.0
LeedsChelsea (A), average · Coventry (H), easiest · Manchester City (A), hardest · Ipswich (H), average · Liverpool (A), average3.0
CoventryCrystal Palace (H), easy · Leeds (A), average · Ipswich (H), average · Manchester United (A), hardest · Aston Villa (H), average3.2
FulhamManchester City (A), hardest · Bournemouth (H), hard · Tottenham (A), average · Everton (A), easy · Brentford (H), easy3.2
Nottingham ForestBournemouth (A), hardest · Chelsea (H), easy · Hull City (A), easiest · Brighton (H), hard · Sunderland (A), hard3.2
ArsenalNewcastle (A), easy · Manchester City (H), hard · Brentford (A), hard · Tottenham (A), average · Bournemouth (H), hard3.4
BournemouthNottingham Forest (H), hardest · Fulham (A), average · Brighton (H), hard · Hull City (H), easiest · Arsenal (A), hard3.4
EvertonBrentford (A), hard · Liverpool (H), hard · Aston Villa (A), easy · Fulham (H), easy · Brighton (A), hardest3.4
NewcastleArsenal (H), average · Brighton (A), hardest · Manchester United (H), average · Sunderland (H), hard · Ipswich (A), easy3.4
BrentfordEverton (H), average · Manchester United (A), hardest · Arsenal (H), average · Manchester City (H), hard · Fulham (A), average3.6
Hull CityBrighton (H), hard · Crystal Palace (A), average · Nottingham Forest (H), hardest · Bournemouth (A), hardest · Tottenham (H), easiest3.6

Overall: the opponent's xG difference

Easiest run first: its xG for minus against.

TeamNext fiveAvg
Aston VillaSunderland (H), easy · Ipswich (A), easiest · Everton (H), average · Crystal Palace (H), easiest · Coventry (A), easiest1.6
Manchester UnitedLiverpool (A), average · Brentford (H), easy · Newcastle (A), easiest · Coventry (H), easiest · Crystal Palace (A), easiest1.6
Crystal PalaceCoventry (A), easiest · Hull City (H), easy · Chelsea (A), average · Aston Villa (A), easiest · Manchester United (H), easy1.8
CoventryCrystal Palace (H), easiest · Leeds (A), hard · Ipswich (H), easiest · Manchester United (A), average · Aston Villa (H), easiest2.0
IpswichTottenham (A), hard · Aston Villa (H), easiest · Coventry (A), easiest · Leeds (A), hard · Newcastle (H), easy2.4
LiverpoolManchester United (H), easy · Everton (A), average · Sunderland (H), easy · Chelsea (A), average · Leeds (H), easy2.4
SunderlandAston Villa (A), easiest · Tottenham (H), easy · Liverpool (A), average · Newcastle (A), easiest · Nottingham Forest (H), hardest2.4
LeedsChelsea (A), average · Coventry (H), easiest · Manchester City (A), hardest · Ipswich (H), easiest · Liverpool (A), average2.6
BrightonHull City (A), easiest · Newcastle (H), easy · Bournemouth (A), hardest · Nottingham Forest (A), average · Everton (H), average2.8
TottenhamIpswich (H), easiest · Sunderland (A), hard · Fulham (H), average · Arsenal (H), hardest · Hull City (A), easiest2.8
ChelseaLeeds (H), easy · Nottingham Forest (A), average · Crystal Palace (H), easiest · Liverpool (H), hard · Manchester City (A), hardest3.0
NewcastleArsenal (H), hardest · Brighton (A), hardest · Manchester United (H), easy · Sunderland (H), easy · Ipswich (A), easiest3.0
Manchester CityFulham (H), average · Arsenal (A), hardest · Leeds (H), easy · Brentford (A), hard · Chelsea (H), easy3.2
Nottingham ForestBournemouth (A), hardest · Chelsea (H), easy · Hull City (A), easiest · Brighton (H), hard · Sunderland (A), hard3.2
EvertonBrentford (A), hard · Liverpool (H), hard · Aston Villa (A), easiest · Fulham (H), average · Brighton (A), hardest3.4
Hull CityBrighton (H), hard · Crystal Palace (A), easiest · Nottingham Forest (H), hardest · Bournemouth (A), hardest · Tottenham (H), easy3.4
ArsenalNewcastle (A), easiest · Manchester City (H), hardest · Brentford (A), hard · Tottenham (A), hard · Bournemouth (H), hard3.6
FulhamManchester City (A), hardest · Bournemouth (H), hard · Tottenham (A), hard · Everton (A), average · Brentford (H), easy3.6
BournemouthNottingham Forest (H), hardest · Fulham (A), average · Brighton (H), hard · Hull City (H), easy · Arsenal (A), hardest3.8
BrentfordEverton (H), average · Manchester United (A), average · Arsenal (H), hardest · Manchester City (H), hardest · Fulham (A), average3.8

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