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4 of 7 matches with xG: 6 goals from 9.7 xG (0.62 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United W 2–0 Crystal Palace W | 1.83–0.41 | 72% · 20% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Manchester United W |
| Chelsea W 1–0 Manchester City W | 1.70–0.96 | 55% · 24% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea W |
| Tottenham Hotspur W 0–0 Everton W | 1.71–0.48 | 68% · 22% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Tottenham Hotspur W had 68% |
| Brighton W 0–3 Liverpool W | 0.74–1.89 | 14% · 21% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool W |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.