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3 of 10 matches with xG: 9 goals from 8.0 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Londrina 2–1 Nautico Recife | 1.51–0.73 | 56% · 26% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Londrina |
| Ponte Preta 0–2 Operario-PR | 0.87–0.84 | 34% · 34% · 32% | Close call, Operario-PR won |
| São Bernardo 2–2 Athletic Club | 2.08–1.96 | 42% · 21% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.